March 22, 2016/Cancer

Improving the Prediction of Prostate Cancer

Novel urine biomarker may inform biopsy decision

650×450-Prostate

By J. Stephen Jones, MD, and Ahmad Elshafei, MD, PhD

Advertisement

Cleveland Clinic is a non-profit academic medical center. Advertising on our site helps support our mission. We do not endorse non-Cleveland Clinic products or services. Policy

Jones J. Stephen

J. Stephen Jones, MD

El-Shafei

Ahmad Elshafei, MD, PhD

A new prostate cancer prediction tool developed and validated by investigators at Cleveland Clinic’s Glickman Urological & Kidney Institute achieves high accuracy, especially for high-grade tumors, by incorporating the prostate cancer antigen gene 3 (PCA3) as a biomarker.

The newly developed nomogram is biopsy protocol-specific and is based on a large cohort of men who underwent initial prostate biopsy.

Although further validation is needed, the PCA3-based nomogram has potential clinical utility to identify patients at risk for harboring prostate cancer, especially high-grade cancer, at initial biopsy.

Accurate and reliable early-detection methods for prostate cancer are needed. The prostate-specific antigen (PSA) protein, which is the most frequently used biomarker for prostate cancer, lacks specificity, often resulting in potentially unnecessary biopsy.

The PCA3 gene, formally known as the DD3 gene, is a non-coding gene located at chromosome 9q21-22 whose expression is restricted to prostate tissue. PCA3 is overexpressed in at least 94 percent of prostate tumors.

The goal of using PCA3 as a biomarker is to reduce the number of unnecessary biopsies. The literature supports the predictive accuracy of PCA3 over PSA for early detection of prostate cancer.

Advertisement

Prior PCA3-based predictive models were not biopsy protocol-specific as they included men who underwent initial and repeat prostate biopsy.

The goal of our retrospective study was the development and internal validation of a PCA3-based nomogram for prediction of overall prostate cancer and high-grade prostate cancer in a large North American cohort who underwent initial prostate biopsy.

Study details

Our cohort consisted of 3,675 patients from a single institution (Western New York Urology Associates) who had undergone transrectal ultrasound-guided prostate biopsy of at least 10 cores after detection of an elevated PSA level (≤ 20 ng/mL) and/or abnormal findings on digital rectal examination (DRE). After prostate massage, 20 to 30 mL of voided urine was collected and analyzed for PCA3 prior to biopsy.

Biopsy results confirmed prostate cancer in 44 percent of the 3,675 patients, and high-grade prostate cancer was present in 19.1 percent.

The variables whose predictive values were tested for inclusion in our nomogram were age, PSA level, PCA3 score, race, family history of prostate cancer, DRE findings and prostate volume.

We calculated subjects’ PCA3 score using the formula (PCA3 mRNA/PSA mRNA) ×1,000.

We constructed two logistic regression models to predict overall prostate and high-grade prostate cancer, defined as Gleason score ≥ 7.

Nomogram predictive accuracy

The multivariate logistic regression models showed that age, PSA level, PCA3 score, prostate volume, family history of prostate cancer and abnormal DRE were independent predictors for prostate cancer overall. Age, PSA level, PCA3 score, prostate volume and abnormal DRE were independent predictors for high-grade prostate cancer.

Advertisement

We built a PCA3-based logistic regression nomogram using the risk factors from the logistic regression models that predicted overall prostate cancer and high-grade prostate cancer.

The PCA3-based nomogram demonstrated a predictive accuracy (concordance index) of 0.742 for prostate cancer overall and a c-index of internal validation of 0.768 when applied for the prediction of high-grade prostate cancer. The base model without PCA3 showed a decline in the c-index from 0.742 to 0.700 for the prediction of prostate cancer overall, and from 0.768 to 0.753 for the prediction of high-grade prostate cancer.

Agreement (calibration) of the two nomograms for prediction of overall prostate cancer and high-grade prostate cancer was excellent.

Conclusion

Including PCA3 in multivariate models predicting prostate cancer and high-grade prostate cancer improves the predictive accuracy of the models. PCA3 is a useful tool to identify patients at risk of prostate cancer at initial biopsy.

Dr. Jones holds the Leonard Horvitz and Samuel Miller Distinguished Chair in Urological Oncology Research.

Dr. Elshafei is a Research Associate in Cleveland Clinic’s Glickman Urological & Kidney Institute.

Related Articles

Scrambler therapy for nerve pain
April 29, 2024/Cancer
Scrambler Technology Life Changing for Many Patients with Neuropathic Pain

Novel therapy “retrains” the brain to disrupt pain signals

Women's health physician
April 16, 2024/Cancer
Watching Out for Primary Ovarian Insufficiency

An underdiagnosed condition in patients with cancer

Fluorescent imaging during small bowel surgery
April 11, 2024/Cancer/Surgical Oncology
Fluorescence Imaging Augments Surgical Inspection and Palpation for Small Bowel Carcinoid Tumors

Study demonstrates superior visualization of occult primary lesions

microwave ablation of liver tumor
150-Watt, Single-Antenna Microwave Ablation System Demonstrates Safety and Efficacy

New device offers greater tumor control for malignant liver lesions

viral-induced cancer
April 3, 2024/Cancer
Mechanism of Kaposi’s Sarcoma-Associated Herpesvirus (KSHV) May Serve as Clue to More Effective Treatment

Cleveland Clinic researchers discover what drives – and what may halt – virus-induced cancer

Dr. Mukherjee at Cleveland Clinic
April 1, 2024/Cancer/Blood Cancers
Many Patients with “Indolent” Systemic Mastocytosis Experience Rapid Decline and Lower Survival

First-ever U.S. population-level retrospective analysis reveals many patients with systemic mastocytosis need faster intervention

Cleveland Clinic physiatrist
March 22, 2024/Cancer/Innovations
The Vital Role of Oncology Rehabilitation (Podcast)

New program provides prehabilitation and rehabilitation services to help patients with cancer maintain and regain function

Doctors working on MGUS screening study
March 18, 2024/Cancer/Research
Pilot Study Aims for Early Identification of Multiple Myeloma Precursor Among Black Patients

First-of-its-kind research investigates the viability of standard screening to reduce the burden of late-stage cancer diagnoses

Ad